Swift vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
SWI
26%
20%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 1
ARG
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ZWA
2 - 2
SWI
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 4
SPI
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DFS
1 - 3
SWI
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
HBS
0 - 4
DBI
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 3
HBS
18%
18%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HBS
1 - 0
MAG
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OJC
1 - 5
HBS
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 0
HBS
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |