Swift vs Flevo Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
30
2º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 2
SWI
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
HED
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SDV
1 - 1
SWI
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 3
EEM
18%
21%
62%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 2
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
APE
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DET
5 - 0
FLE
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 4
HUI
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HZV
1 - 1
FLE
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 3
DHS
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |