Swift vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SCF
2 - 3
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 2
SWI
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 2
SMI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TER
6 - 2
SWI
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
HOE
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAP
0 - 1
FCS
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
XER
2 - 1
CAP
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOO
1 - 4
CAP
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAP
0 - 3
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 2
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |