Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 4-6
Swarovski Tirol vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SWA
3 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
SWA
2 - 2
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
4 - 0
SWA
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1987 |
SWA
4 - 1
VIE
68%
18%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1987 |
LAS
0 - 2
SWA
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
4 - 0
SWA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAR
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ESP
0 - 0
SCP
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |