Swansea City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
SWA
2 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
REA
2 - 0
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
TOT
1 - 1
SWA
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
SWA
3 - 2
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
MID
0 - 0
SWA
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
WBA
5 - 0
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
REA
2 - 0
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
REA
4 - 1
BPO
42%
24%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
STO
5 - 0
REA
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1929 |
REA
3 - 0
WOL
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |