EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 1-2
Swansea City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
SWA
2 - 0
EXE
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 0
SWA
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
SWA
0 - 0
DON
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
CAM
4 - 1
SWA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
SWA
3 - 0
ROC
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
2 - 1
CRE
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
NOR
5 - 0
SWI
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
STO
2 - 0
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
NOR
5 - 0
HUR
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |