Swansea City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 2
SWA
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 1
STO
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
TOT
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
SWA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HUL
1 - 0
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
SHW
3 - 0
ARS
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
BYM
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
0 - 3
ARS
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |