Svendborg vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svendborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JAM
2 - 0
SVE
52%
22%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 0
AAF
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 2
SIF
10%
16%
75%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
SVE
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SVE
3 - 1
OTB
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
THI
0 - 3
AAF
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
OTB
1 - 0
THI
24%
22%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
THI
1 - 3
SKA
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
THI
37%
24%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
THI
3 - 1
SKI
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |