Svendborg vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svendborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 3
SVE
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SVE
3 - 1
VAR
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DJU
2 - 1
SVE
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SVE
1 - 2
NAS
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 3
SVE
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ACH
0 - 3
ESB
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ESB
2 - 3
LYN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ESB
2 - 1
SIF
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AAB
0 - 2
ESB
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
1 - 1
ESB
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |