Wildon vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
15º
6º
49
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wildon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
JUD
1 - 1
SVW
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SVW
2 - 0
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HGK
3 - 0
SVW
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 0
LIE
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 4
SVW
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
FEH
3 - 0
SCB
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 0
FEH
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 0
FUR
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VOI
3 - 0
FEH
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 0
ILZ
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |