SV Wallern vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
2º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Wallern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
SVW
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 1
SVZ
66%
16%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVW
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PWD
6 - 0
SVW
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
2 - 0
OED
31%
22%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
UMA
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
STM
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |