Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
20º
17º
69
3º
19º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 62 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIK
5 - 1
SUF
59%
19%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AST
3 - 5
SUF
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 1
WEI
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SUF
3 - 1
VIK
39%
21%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
5 - 2
SUF
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
ROT
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SGB
1 - 2
FER
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 9
STE
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
FER
44%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 4
FER
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |