Trupial vs Jong Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trupial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
SVT
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
RCA
5 - 1
SVT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SVT
0 - 1
DAK
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SVB
1 - 0
SVT
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 2
RIV
46%
24%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RCA
4 - 1
SVJ
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SVJ
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FAM
1 - 0
SVJ
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
SVJ
1 - 1
DAK
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 3
BRI
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |