Traun vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Traun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
DON
1 - 2
SVT
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVT
0 - 0
GRU
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NEU
3 - 0
SVT
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GMU
1 - 1
SVT
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVT
1 - 1
VOR
10%
19%
71%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | +1 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 1
GMU
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VOR
5 - 0
SIE
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 1
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 3
LAS
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |