Sparta Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
34
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
4 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
DSC
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SVS
5 - 0
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TBD
2 - 0
SVS
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 1
TAS
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 2
OPT
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 3
LAS
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
4 - 0
BAK
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
0 - 4
VIK
11%
18%
72%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |