River Plate vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DAK
3 - 0
RIV
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
NAC
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
FAM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIV
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
BUB
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
RCA
4 - 1
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAK
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |