River Plate vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 1
DAK
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
RCA
2 - 2
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 0
RIV
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 5
FAM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SVJ
3 - 2
RIV
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 6
BRI
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVE
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DAK
0 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 7
EST
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 10
RCA
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |