ROAC vs Den Hoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VUC
0 - 0
ROA
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 1
VLI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
ROA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 3
RKS
25%
20%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Den Hoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VVH
2 - 6
SVD
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DOS
1 - 1
SVD
47%
21%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SVD
6 - 1
ZWE
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SVD
2 - 0
VLI
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VUC
0 - 2
SVD
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |