SV Orion vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
10º
68
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EVV
3 - 0
ORI
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DON
4 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 2
ACH
31%
23%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 0
RKV
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HVC
0 - 1
ORI
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
4 - 1
DON
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RKV
0 - 3
GOE
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
0 - 0
HVC
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 1
GOE
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GOE
6 - 0
UNI
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |