Neuhof vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
76.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 7
GIE
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 3
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -7 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
BUC
45%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LEH
4 - 1
FER
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SFS
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |