Ludesch vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
14º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 0
LUD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 3
SCF
47%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
4 - 3
LUD
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
AUS
57%
19%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
LUD
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 2
LUS
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
HAR
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
LOC
33%
22%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NEN
4 - 2
HAR
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 0
KBL
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |