Lochau vs FC Höchst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
4º
22
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 37 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 33 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
43.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LOC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
LOC
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCG
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RTB
3 - 2
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 4
LOC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Höchst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 4
HAR
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 0
FCH
57%
19%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 2
FCH
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
4 - 4
AND
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCH
49%
22%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |