1. Liga Round 14

SV Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II analysis

SV Lafnitz Sturm Graz II
60 ELO 64
22.6% Tilt 23%
3079º General ELO ranking 2060º
44º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
44.5%
SV Lafnitz
23.5%
Draw
31.9%
Sturm Graz II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
SV Lafnitz
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.9%
Win probability
Sturm Graz II
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Lafnitz
-22%
+8%
Sturm Graz II

Points and table prediction

SV Lafnitz
Their league position
Sturm Graz II
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
16º
16º
42
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Ried
65
65
100%
Admira Wacker
59
59
100%
Kapfenberger SV
54
54
100%
SKN St. Polten
53
53
100%
First Vienna
49
49
100%
Liefering
43
43
100%
SKU Amstetten
42
42
100%
Sturm Graz II
42
42
100%
SW Bregenz
38
38
100%
Austria Lustenau
12º
37
37
10º
0%
FAC Wien
11º
37
37
11º
0%
Rapid Wien II
10º
37
37
12º
0%
Stripfing
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Voitsberg
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Horn
15º
30
30
15º
100%
SV Lafnitz
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Lafnitz
Sturm Graz II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

SV Lafnitz
Sturm Graz II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Lafnitz
SV Lafnitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2024
AMS
SKU Amstetten
5 - 0
SV Lafnitz
SVL
43%
24%
33%
62 62 0 0
02 Nov. 2024
SVL
SV Lafnitz
5 - 1
Horn
SVH
48%
24%
29%
61 61 0 +1
26 Oct. 2024
RAP
Rapid Wien II
2 - 3
SV Lafnitz
SVL
53%
23%
24%
60 67 7 +1
18 Oct. 2024
SVL
SV Lafnitz
0 - 1
First Vienna
VIE
30%
24%
46%
60 69 9 0
04 Oct. 2024
VOI
Voitsberg
2 - 1
SV Lafnitz
SVL
38%
24%
39%
60 58 2 0

Matches

Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
0 - 3
SV Ried
RIE
17%
22%
60%
63 81 18 0
01 Nov. 2024
SKN
SKN St. Polten
0 - 2
Sturm Graz II
STU
51%
24%
25%
61 69 8 +2
26 Oct. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
3 - 1
Admira Wacker
AWM
21%
23%
55%
60 75 15 +1
18 Oct. 2024
SVH
Horn
2 - 2
Sturm Graz II
STU
49%
24%
27%
60 62 2 0
10 Oct. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
4 - 2
FAC Wien
FAC
25%
22%
54%
59 72 13 +1