La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 2
RIV
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
FAM
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 0
SNI
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 6
RCA
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
DAK
43%
21%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
61%
19%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
BUB
43%
21%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |