Horn vs Ritzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 1
SVH
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
SVH
3 - 3
AMS
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 3
SVH
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SVH
2 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
SVH
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
RIT
3 - 0
AMS
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 3
RIT
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIT
2 - 2
ADM
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
FAC
0 - 0
RIT
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
RIT
1 - 2
RAP
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |