Horn vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 2
LEO
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AMS
2 - 2
SVH
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 2
DOR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 1
SVH
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 0
KAP
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
DON
2 - 3
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 3
FCM
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVS
3 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 3
MAN
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |