Hillegom vs Assendelft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RKV
2 - 2
HIL
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
2 - 2
ELI
37%
21%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
4 - 2
HIL
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
4 - 3
NUT
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEG
4 - 1
ASS
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FWO
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUT
1 - 0
ASS
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
RKV
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |