Hillegom vs Hoofddorp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
9º
49
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VVK
5 - 0
HIL
42%
21%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVH
5 - 1
HIL
25%
20%
56%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 5
HIL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 0
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LSV
3 - 0
HIL
39%
23%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hoofddorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
SVH
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVH
3 - 1
ASS
75%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LSV
1 - 1
SVH
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
6 - 1
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SDZ
0 - 1
SVH
29%
21%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |