Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
7º
1º
7
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
6º
|
16 | 62 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 58 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 56 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 41 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 38 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 37 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
71% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 12 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
38% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
ATS
2 - 0
REG
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
REG
2 - 2
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
REG
3 - 1
JRE
67%
18%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
FSS
5 - 2
REG
8%
16%
77%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
REG
2 - 0
SCG
94%
5%
2%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
WUR
2 - 0
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
KOR
5 - 0
WUR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
WUR
1 - 4
ELT
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
DJK
7 - 0
WUR
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
WUR
1 - 1
ASV
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |