Fortuna Regensburg vs DJK Gebenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
14º
18º
15º
52
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EIC
3 - 1
REG
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
REG
2 - 1
ING
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 3
REG
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
REG
1 - 2
ASV
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVD
1 - 1
REG
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DJK Gebenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
FEU
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AMM
3 - 0
DJK
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 4
ELT
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
DJK
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DJK
3 - 2
WUR
75%
14%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |