Estrella Papilon vs Trupial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
DAK
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
EST
5 - 3
SVJ
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RCA
0 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SVB
2 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trupial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRI
8 - 0
SVT
55%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SVT
2 - 6
FAM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 1
SVT
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 5
RCA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |