Nacional vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
4 - 0
SVC
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DAK
0 - 5
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
RCA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
FAM
4 - 1
SVC
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
FAM
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
FAM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 0
BUB
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAM
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |