De Meer vs Hillegom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
83%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
14º
33
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Meer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 1
SVD
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 2
LSV
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 0
SVD
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
2 - 0
HIL
5%
10%
85%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
AGB
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 2
KAM
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 4
HIL
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |