Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
4 - 1
SVB
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SVB
2 - 2
VFB
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
SVB
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SVB
0 - 2
MEU
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SVB
2 - 2
OBE
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
ERF
3 - 0
FSM
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ERF
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ERF
3 - 2
SVG
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCH
1 - 2
ERF
32%
22%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
ERF
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |