SV Atlético Santa Fé vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Atlético Santa Fé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SVS
5 - 3
ASF
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ASF
3 - 0
UFC
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ASF
0 - 7
BRI
28%
20%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FAM
4 - 0
ASF
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ASF
2 - 4
EST
56%
19%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
9 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
BUB
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUB
4 - 1
CAR
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
3 - 2
CAR
8%
12%
81%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 2
CAR
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |