Aspern vs Mannswörth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ICF
5 - 1
SVA
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
SVA
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 4
SCF
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mannswörth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 3
REN
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ICF
0 - 4
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
DON
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 3
DON
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -3 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SKS
1 - 1
MAN
23%
22%
54%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |