K-League Classic Normal Season Round 18

Suwon Bluewings vs Incheon United analysis

Suwon Bluewings Incheon United
77 ELO 77
-7.3% Tilt -6.6%
366º General ELO ranking 463º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.8%
Suwon Bluewings
26.9%
Draw
34.3%
Incheon United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
Suwon Bluewings
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.3%
Win probability
Incheon United
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suwon Bluewings
+5%
+11%
Incheon United

Points and table prediction

Suwon Bluewings
Their league position
Incheon United
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
12º
12º
48
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
67
67
100%
Pohang Steelers
58
58
100%
Gwangju FC
54
54
100%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
49
49
100%
Daegu FC
49
49
100%
Incheon United
48
48
100%
FC Seoul
47
47
100%
Daejeon Citizen
45
45
100%
Jeju United
35
35
100%
Suwon FC
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Gangwon FC
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Suwon Bluewings
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Suwon Bluewings
Incheon United
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Suwon Bluewings
Incheon United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suwon Bluewings
Suwon Bluewings
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2023
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 1
Suwon Bluewings
SUW
41%
27%
32%
77 76 1 0
03 Jun. 2023
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
1 - 2
Suwon FC
SUW
38%
27%
35%
77 77 0 0
27 May. 2023
JEJ
Jeju United
2 - 1
Suwon Bluewings
SUW
46%
26%
28%
77 77 0 0
24 May. 2023
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
1 - 0
Daegu FC
DAE
39%
25%
36%
76 77 1 +1
21 May. 2023
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
2 - 3
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
37%
27%
36%
76 77 1 0

Matches

Incheon United
Incheon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2023
INC
Incheon United
1 - 1
FC Seoul
FCS
35%
29%
37%
77 77 0 0
04 Jun. 2023
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
1 - 3
Incheon United
INC
37%
26%
37%
77 73 4 0
27 May. 2023
DAE
Daegu FC
2 - 2
Incheon United
INC
42%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
24 May. 2023
INC
Incheon United
3 - 0
Gyeongnam FC
GYE
57%
24%
19%
77 64 13 0
20 May. 2023
INC
Incheon United
1 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
37%
28%
35%
77 74 3 0