Surnadal vs Stabæk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
77.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+407%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
SUR
94%
4%
2%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 3
MEL
12%
18%
71%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
5 - 1
SUR
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 0
SUR
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 4
MFK
3%
10%
87%
|
7 | 82 | 75 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
STA
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
ROS
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAR
4 - 0
STA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
STA
5 - 0
ULL
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LYS
2 - 1
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |