SK Super Nova vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
9º
8º
13
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 76 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 71 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 60 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 37 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 30 |
10º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 3
LIE
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
SUP
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 1
BFC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 1
SUP
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FSM
43%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
AUD
4 - 1
FSM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |