SK Super Nova vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
9º
8º
24
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
SUP
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 2
RIG
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FSM
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
LIE
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |