SK Super Nova vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
BFC
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
AUD
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 6
LIE
9%
20%
71%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 0
FKJ
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FSM
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
FKT
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |