SK Super Nova vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
9º
8º
67
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 81 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 3
SUP
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 1
SUP
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
SUP
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
BFC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
CAR
10 - 0
FKB
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
BEI
3 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |