SK Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
AUD
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 6
LIE
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 1
SUP
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
CAR
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
77%
17%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 3
FKT
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |