Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 1
LUT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
SWA
3 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 2
STO
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
EVE
3 - 1
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
MAC
2 - 2
SUN
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
NTT
2 - 1
IPS
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
LUT
0 - 2
NTT
48%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
NTT
3 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |