Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WIG
1 - 1
SUN
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WBA
1 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 2
BIR
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ARS
6 - 0
SPB
70%
19%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BBU
1 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ARS
6 - 0
BPO
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |