Sun Pegasus Reserve vs R&F FCReserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
0.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
7.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
0.2%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1.8%
5-5
0.6%
6-6
0.2%
7-7
<0%
0
11.2%
75.3%
Win probability
4.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
3.6%
4-5
1.6%
5-6
0.5%
6-7
0.1%
7-8
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
5.2%
3-5
3.1%
4-6
1.1%
5-7
0.3%
6-8
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
4.5%
3-6
2.2%
4-7
0.7%
5-8
0.2%
6-9
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
3.2%
3-7
1.3%
4-8
0.4%
5-9
0.1%
6-10
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
3.1%
2-7
1.9%
3-8
0.7%
4-9
0.2%
5-10
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
1.9%
2-8
1%
3-9
0.3%
4-10
0.1%
5-11
0%
-6
4.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
1%
2-9
0.5%
3-10
0.1%
4-11
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.5%
2-10
0.2%
3-11
0.1%
4-12
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.2%
2-11
0.1%
3-12
0%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
1-11
0.1%
2-12
0%
-10
0.2%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
-11
0.1%
0-12
0%
-12
<0%