Sumgayit vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUM
0 - 2
SHA
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FKB
1 - 0
SUM
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SUM
0 - 0
FKN
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SIM
3 - 1
SUM
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SUM
0 - 1
REV
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKB
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FKN
0 - 0
QAR
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QAR
0 - 0
SIM
51%
28%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
REV
1 - 1
QAR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
QAR
0 - 1
AZA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |