Sul América vs Unidos do Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 4
SUL
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SUL
2 - 1
TAR
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PFC
7 - 0
SUL
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 2
SUL
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SUL
1 - 7
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unidos do Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDA
10 - 2
MAN
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
UDA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
UDA
6 - 0
CDL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RBD
0 - 2
UDA
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |