U21 EC Qualifying Play-offs. Final
Global 2-4
Switzerland U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 1
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
ESP
30%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HRV
1 - 2
CHE
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 2
AUT
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 1
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
BIH
4 - 4
DEU
13%
18%
69%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DEU
3 - 0
BLR
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
DEU
6 - 1
ARG
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 0
GRC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |