Suecia U18 vs RD Alemania U18 analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

73.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%

15.7%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

15.7%

11%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suecia U18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Oct. 1985	FIN 0 - 4 SWE 52% 25% 23%	47	44	3	0
18 Sep. 1985	SWE 1 - 0 NOR 61% 22% 17%	46	42	4	+1
06 Jun. 1985	SWE 1 - 1 FIN 58% 23% 19%	46	45	1	0
08 May. 1985	DDR 2 - 1 SWE 39% 28% 33%	47	36	11	-1
26 Sep. 1984	NOR 0 - 1 SWE 52% 25% 24%	46	43	3	+1

Matches

RD Alemania U18

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Oct. 1985	NOR 1 - 1 DDR 53% 25% 22%	41	40	1	0
09 Oct. 1985	DDR 2 - 0 FIN 45% 27% 28%	39	46	7	+2
18 May. 1985	FIN 0 - 1 DDR 67% 20% 14%	38	45	7	+1
08 May. 1985	DDR 2 - 1 SWE 39% 28% 33%	36	47	11	+2
04 Nov. 1984	DDR 1 - 0 NOR 44% 27% 30%	34	43	9	+2